Uganda geopolitical risk index

Uganda in the African GPR Index

Data through 23 June 2026 · Explore the full African GPR Index

In May 2026, the African GPR Index for Uganda stood at 68.5, which is below its long-run norm (about 31% lower than the 2000–2019 average). The 90-day average of 75.4 is higher than 1% of all 90-day periods since 2000. Since 2000, the highest monthly reading was 142.1 in August 2018. Over the last 90 days, 21.1% of Uganda's news-event coverage reported conflict or threat, ranking 30 of 54 countries in Africa on this cross-country comparable measure.

Monthly average of Uganda's own GPR index (2000–2019 average = 100), 1985 to 2026. Dashed line = the country's own baseline of 100. Early years rest on thinner news coverage and are noisier.

Download Uganda geopolitical risk data

The monthly file has one row per month and these columns: africa_gpr_index, africa_conflict_share_pct. Daily data for every country is in the regional files.

What the numbers mean

• African GPR Index: built from the GDELT Event Database (1979–). The index is Uganda's own GPR index (2000–2019 average = 100): 150 means risk coverage 50% above Uganda's own normal. The conflict share is the share of Uganda's news-event coverage that reports conflict or threat, and it is the series to use for comparing countries.

All indices follow the geopolitical-risk definition of Caldara and Iacoviello (2022): the threat, realization and escalation of wars, terrorism and tensions between states and political actors. The full construction is on the methodology page.

How to cite

@misc{iddouch2026gprhub,
  author       = {Iddouch, Karim},
  title        = {GPR Data Hub: Daily Geopolitical Risk Indices for MENA, Africa, Europe and South America},
  year         = {2026},
  howpublished = {\url{https://karimiddouch.org/}},
  note         = {Data set, CC BY 4.0, accessed YYYY-MM-DD}
}

Other countries in Africa

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