Sudan geopolitical risk index

Sudan in the MENA GPR Index

Data through 18 June 2026 · Explore the full MENA GPR Index

In May 2026, 1.0% of the Arabic-language geopolitical coverage tracked by the MENA GPR Index mentioned Sudan. The 90-day average of 1.0% is higher than 55% of all 90-day periods since 2015, and ranks Sudan 19 of 23 countries in the index. The highest monthly share was 5.1% in April 2023.

Monthly average share of Arabic-language geopolitical coverage that mentions Sudan, 2015 to 2026.

Sudan in the African GPR Index

Data through 23 June 2026 · Explore the full African GPR Index

In May 2026, the African GPR Index for Sudan stood at 120.9, which is above its long-run norm (about 21% higher than the 2000–2019 average). The 90-day average of 125.4 is higher than 80% of all 90-day periods since 2000. Since 2000, the highest monthly reading was 171.3 in June 2025. Over the last 90 days, 38.8% of Sudan's news-event coverage reported conflict or threat, ranking 3 of 54 countries in Africa on this cross-country comparable measure.

Monthly average of Sudan's own GPR index (2000–2019 average = 100), 1985 to 2026. Dashed line = the country's own baseline of 100. Early years rest on thinner news coverage and are noisier.

Download Sudan geopolitical risk data

The monthly file has one row per month and these columns: africa_gpr_index, africa_conflict_share_pct, mena_coverage_share_pct. Daily data for every country is in the regional files.

What the numbers mean

• MENA GPR Index: built from a curated set of leading pan-Arab outlets in the GDELT Global Knowledge Graph (2015–). The series is the share of Arabic-language geopolitical coverage that mentions Sudan, a measure of how much of the region's risk news concerns Sudan.
• African GPR Index: built from the GDELT Event Database (1979–). The index is Sudan's own GPR index (2000–2019 average = 100): 150 means risk coverage 50% above Sudan's own normal. The conflict share is the share of Sudan's news-event coverage that reports conflict or threat, and it is the series to use for comparing countries.

All indices follow the geopolitical-risk definition of Caldara and Iacoviello (2022): the threat, realization and escalation of wars, terrorism and tensions between states and political actors. The full construction is on the methodology page.

How to cite

@misc{iddouch2026gprhub,
  author       = {Iddouch, Karim},
  title        = {GPR Data Hub: Daily Geopolitical Risk Indices for MENA, Africa, Europe and South America},
  year         = {2026},
  howpublished = {\url{https://karimiddouch.org/}},
  note         = {Data set, CC BY 4.0, accessed YYYY-MM-DD}
}

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