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Country risk data · Middle East & North Africa · Africa

Algeria geopolitical risk index

A daily, news-based measure of geopolitical risk for Algeria: conflict, threats, terrorism and tensions as reported in the news, from 1979 to 2026. Free to download and reuse under CC BY 4.0.

Data through 23 June 2026 · Updated monthly · Source: GDELT Project

Algeria in the MENA GPR Index

Data through 18 June 2026 · Explore the full MENA GPR Index

0.6%
Share of coverage, May 2026
0.6%
Share of coverage, last 90 days
-23%
Change vs the same 90 days a year earlier
21 of 23
Rank among countries in the MENA GPR Index

In May 2026, 0.6% of the Arabic-language geopolitical coverage tracked by the MENA GPR Index mentioned Algeria. The 90-day average of 0.6% is higher than 21% of all 90-day periods since 2015, and ranks Algeria 21 of 23 countries in the index. The highest monthly share was 2.1% in April 2019.

00.51.01.52.0201620182020202220242026

Monthly average share of Arabic-language geopolitical coverage that mentions Algeria, 2015 to 2026.

Algeria in the African GPR Index

Data through 23 June 2026 · Explore the full African GPR Index

43.8
Index, May 2026 (own 2000–2019 average = 100)
45.7
Index, average of the last 90 days
-44%
Change vs the same 90 days a year earlier
14.6%
Conflict share of coverage, last 90 days · rank 48 of 54 in Africa

In May 2026, the African GPR Index for Algeria stood at 43.8, which is below its long-run norm (about 56% lower than the 2000–2019 average). The 90-day average of 45.7 is higher than 0% of all 90-day periods since 2000. Since 2000, the highest monthly reading was 158.0 in November 2019. Over the last 90 days, 14.6% of Algeria's news-event coverage reported conflict or threat, ranking 48 of 54 countries in Africa on this cross-country comparable measure.

0501001502001990200020102020baseline = 100

Monthly average of Algeria's own GPR index (2000–2019 average = 100), 1985 to 2026. Dashed line = the country's own baseline of 100. Early years rest on thinner news coverage and are noisier.

Download Algeria geopolitical risk data

The monthly file has one row per month and these columns: africa_gpr_index, africa_conflict_share_pct, mena_coverage_share_pct. Daily data for every country is in the regional files.

What the numbers mean

  • MENA GPR Index: built from a curated set of leading pan-Arab outlets in the GDELT Global Knowledge Graph (2015–). The series is the share of Arabic-language geopolitical coverage that mentions Algeria, a measure of how much of the region's risk news concerns Algeria.
  • African GPR Index: built from the GDELT Event Database (1979–). The index is Algeria's own GPR index (2000–2019 average = 100): 150 means risk coverage 50% above Algeria's own normal. The conflict share is the share of Algeria's news-event coverage that reports conflict or threat, and it is the series to use for comparing countries.

All indices follow the geopolitical-risk definition of Caldara and Iacoviello (2022): the threat, realization and escalation of wars, terrorism and tensions between states and political actors. The full construction is on the methodology page.

How to cite

How to cite

Iddouch, K. (2026). GPR Data Hub: Daily geopolitical risk indices for MENA, Africa, Europe and South America [Data set]. https://karimiddouch.org/

@misc{iddouch2026gprhub,
  author       = {Iddouch, Karim},
  title        = {GPR Data Hub: Daily Geopolitical Risk Indices for MENA, Africa, Europe and South America},
  year         = {2026},
  howpublished = {\url{https://karimiddouch.org/}},
  note         = {Data set, CC BY 4.0, accessed YYYY-MM-DD}
}

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