Morocco geopolitical risk index

Morocco in the MENA GPR Index

Data through 18 June 2026 · Explore the full MENA GPR Index

In May 2026, 1.6% of the Arabic-language geopolitical coverage tracked by the MENA GPR Index mentioned Morocco. The 90-day average of 1.6% is higher than 57% of all 90-day periods since 2015, and ranks Morocco 15 of 23 countries in the index. The highest monthly share was 2.3% in March 2016.

Monthly average share of Arabic-language geopolitical coverage that mentions Morocco, 2015 to 2026.

Morocco in the African GPR Index

Data through 23 June 2026 · Explore the full African GPR Index

In May 2026, the African GPR Index for Morocco stood at 81.1, which is below its long-run norm (about 19% lower than the 2000–2019 average). The 90-day average of 63.8 is higher than 6% of all 90-day periods since 2000. Since 2000, the highest monthly reading was 181.5 in January 2006. Over the last 90 days, 17.8% of Morocco's news-event coverage reported conflict or threat, ranking 41 of 54 countries in Africa on this cross-country comparable measure.

Monthly average of Morocco's own GPR index (2000–2019 average = 100), 1985 to 2026. Dashed line = the country's own baseline of 100. Early years rest on thinner news coverage and are noisier.

Download Morocco geopolitical risk data

The monthly file has one row per month and these columns: africa_gpr_index, africa_conflict_share_pct, mena_coverage_share_pct. Daily data for every country is in the regional files.

What the numbers mean

• MENA GPR Index: built from a curated set of leading pan-Arab outlets in the GDELT Global Knowledge Graph (2015–). The series is the share of Arabic-language geopolitical coverage that mentions Morocco, a measure of how much of the region's risk news concerns Morocco.
• African GPR Index: built from the GDELT Event Database (1979–). The index is Morocco's own GPR index (2000–2019 average = 100): 150 means risk coverage 50% above Morocco's own normal. The conflict share is the share of Morocco's news-event coverage that reports conflict or threat, and it is the series to use for comparing countries.

All indices follow the geopolitical-risk definition of Caldara and Iacoviello (2022): the threat, realization and escalation of wars, terrorism and tensions between states and political actors. The full construction is on the methodology page.

How to cite

@misc{iddouch2026gprhub,
  author       = {Iddouch, Karim},
  title        = {GPR Data Hub: Daily Geopolitical Risk Indices for MENA, Africa, Europe and South America},
  year         = {2026},
  howpublished = {\url{https://karimiddouch.org/}},
  note         = {Data set, CC BY 4.0, accessed YYYY-MM-DD}
}

Other countries in Africa

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