Egypt geopolitical risk index

Egypt in the MENA GPR Index

Data through 18 June 2026 · Explore the full MENA GPR Index

In May 2026, 9.8% of the Arabic-language geopolitical coverage tracked by the MENA GPR Index mentioned Egypt. The 90-day average of 10.0% is higher than 52% of all 90-day periods since 2015, and ranks Egypt 3 of 23 countries in the index. The highest monthly share was 16.6% in October 2023.

Monthly average share of Arabic-language geopolitical coverage that mentions Egypt, 2015 to 2026.

Egypt in the African GPR Index

Data through 23 June 2026 · Explore the full African GPR Index

In May 2026, the African GPR Index for Egypt stood at 82.4, which is below its long-run norm (about 18% lower than the 2000–2019 average). The 90-day average of 71.4 is higher than 26% of all 90-day periods since 2000. Since 2000, the highest monthly reading was 182.5 in December 2013. Over the last 90 days, 21.2% of Egypt's news-event coverage reported conflict or threat, ranking 29 of 54 countries in Africa on this cross-country comparable measure.

Monthly average of Egypt's own GPR index (2000–2019 average = 100), 1985 to 2026. Dashed line = the country's own baseline of 100. Early years rest on thinner news coverage and are noisier.

Download Egypt geopolitical risk data

The monthly file has one row per month and these columns: africa_gpr_index, africa_conflict_share_pct, mena_coverage_share_pct. Daily data for every country is in the regional files.

What the numbers mean

• MENA GPR Index: built from a curated set of leading pan-Arab outlets in the GDELT Global Knowledge Graph (2015–). The series is the share of Arabic-language geopolitical coverage that mentions Egypt, a measure of how much of the region's risk news concerns Egypt.
• African GPR Index: built from the GDELT Event Database (1979–). The index is Egypt's own GPR index (2000–2019 average = 100): 150 means risk coverage 50% above Egypt's own normal. The conflict share is the share of Egypt's news-event coverage that reports conflict or threat, and it is the series to use for comparing countries.

All indices follow the geopolitical-risk definition of Caldara and Iacoviello (2022): the threat, realization and escalation of wars, terrorism and tensions between states and political actors. The full construction is on the methodology page.

How to cite

@misc{iddouch2026gprhub,
  author       = {Iddouch, Karim},
  title        = {GPR Data Hub: Daily Geopolitical Risk Indices for MENA, Africa, Europe and South America},
  year         = {2026},
  howpublished = {\url{https://karimiddouch.org/}},
  note         = {Data set, CC BY 4.0, accessed YYYY-MM-DD}
}

Other countries in Africa

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