Headline index
Share of African event coverage that is conflict or threat, normalized so the 2000‑2019 mean = 100 (30‑day average, shown weekly).
Country‑specific index
Each country's own geopolitical risk, normalized to its own 2000‑2019 mean = 100. A value of 150 means risk coverage 50% above that country's normal. Pick any country:
Levels are comparable to each country's own history, not across countries. For cross‑country comparison use the coverage‑share file below.
By region
Conflict‑coverage share by UN subregion (monthly).
Threats vs. acts
Verbal conflict (threats, anticipation) versus material conflict (acts, realization), monthly, each mean 2000‑2019 = 100.
Download the data
All series are free to download as CSV, daily from 1979 to 2026, under a CC BY 4.0 license.
Headline index
Daily continent index + 30‑day average.
↓ CSV
Country indices (all 54)
Each country normalized to its own mean = 100.
↓ CSV
Country coverage shares
Cross‑country comparable conflict shares.
↓ CSV
By region
Five UN African subregions, daily.
↓ CSV
Threats vs acts
Verbal vs material conflict, daily + ratio.
↓ CSV
Source: GDELT Project. Method follows Caldara & Iacoviello (2022). Built by Karim Iddouch.