Tunisia geopolitical risk index

Tunisia in the MENA GPR Index

Data through 18 June 2026 · Explore the full MENA GPR Index

In May 2026, 0.4% of the Arabic-language geopolitical coverage tracked by the MENA GPR Index mentioned Tunisia. The 90-day average of 0.4% is higher than 0% of all 90-day periods since 2015, and ranks Tunisia 23 of 23 countries in the index. The highest monthly share was 2.3% in June 2015.

Monthly average share of Arabic-language geopolitical coverage that mentions Tunisia, 2015 to 2026.

Tunisia in the African GPR Index

Data through 23 June 2026 · Explore the full African GPR Index

In May 2026, the African GPR Index for Tunisia stood at 99.5, which is close to its long-run norm. The 90-day average of 92.3 is higher than 42% of all 90-day periods since 2000. Since 2000, the highest monthly reading was 168.9 in May 2013. Over the last 90 days, 26.5% of Tunisia's news-event coverage reported conflict or threat, ranking 17 of 54 countries in Africa on this cross-country comparable measure.

Monthly average of Tunisia's own GPR index (2000–2019 average = 100), 1985 to 2026. Dashed line = the country's own baseline of 100. Early years rest on thinner news coverage and are noisier.

Download Tunisia geopolitical risk data

The monthly file has one row per month and these columns: africa_gpr_index, africa_conflict_share_pct, mena_coverage_share_pct. Daily data for every country is in the regional files.

What the numbers mean

• MENA GPR Index: built from a curated set of leading pan-Arab outlets in the GDELT Global Knowledge Graph (2015–). The series is the share of Arabic-language geopolitical coverage that mentions Tunisia, a measure of how much of the region's risk news concerns Tunisia.
• African GPR Index: built from the GDELT Event Database (1979–). The index is Tunisia's own GPR index (2000–2019 average = 100): 150 means risk coverage 50% above Tunisia's own normal. The conflict share is the share of Tunisia's news-event coverage that reports conflict or threat, and it is the series to use for comparing countries.

All indices follow the geopolitical-risk definition of Caldara and Iacoviello (2022): the threat, realization and escalation of wars, terrorism and tensions between states and political actors. The full construction is on the methodology page.

How to cite

@misc{iddouch2026gprhub,
  author       = {Iddouch, Karim},
  title        = {GPR Data Hub: Daily Geopolitical Risk Indices for MENA, Africa, Europe and South America},
  year         = {2026},
  howpublished = {\url{https://karimiddouch.org/}},
  note         = {Data set, CC BY 4.0, accessed YYYY-MM-DD}
}

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