Equatorial Guinea geopolitical risk index

Equatorial Guinea in the African GPR Index

Data through 22 June 2026 · Explore the full African GPR Index

In May 2026, the African GPR Index for Equatorial Guinea stood at 57.5, which is below its long-run norm (about 43% lower than the 2000–2019 average). The 90-day average of 58.1 is higher than 4% of all 90-day periods since 2000. Since 2000, the highest monthly reading was 288.5 in September 2007. Over the last 90 days, 14.4% of Equatorial Guinea's news-event coverage reported conflict or threat, ranking 50 of 54 countries in Africa on this cross-country comparable measure.

Monthly average of Equatorial Guinea's own GPR index (2000–2019 average = 100), 1985 to 2026. Dashed line = the country's own baseline of 100. Early years rest on thinner news coverage and are noisier.

Download Equatorial Guinea geopolitical risk data

The monthly file has one row per month and these columns: africa_gpr_index, africa_conflict_share_pct. Daily data for every country is in the regional files.

What the numbers mean

• African GPR Index: built from the GDELT Event Database (1979–). The index is Equatorial Guinea's own GPR index (2000–2019 average = 100): 150 means risk coverage 50% above Equatorial Guinea's own normal. The conflict share is the share of Equatorial Guinea's news-event coverage that reports conflict or threat, and it is the series to use for comparing countries.

All indices follow the geopolitical-risk definition of Caldara and Iacoviello (2022): the threat, realization and escalation of wars, terrorism and tensions between states and political actors. The full construction is on the methodology page.

How to cite

@misc{iddouch2026gprhub,
  author       = {Iddouch, Karim},
  title        = {GPR Data Hub: Daily Geopolitical Risk Indices for MENA, Africa, Europe and South America},
  year         = {2026},
  howpublished = {\url{https://karimiddouch.org/}},
  note         = {Data set, CC BY 4.0, accessed YYYY-MM-DD}
}

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