Explore the index

Each line is the 30-day moving average of the share of daily Arabic geopolitical coverage carrying that event-type theme. The full LLM-scored sub-indices are coming soon.

Each line is the 30-day moving average of the share of daily Arabic geopolitical coverage that co-mentions both countries in the pair. Dashed markers flag major events.

Total co-mentions of each country pair, 2015–2026 (log colour scale). Hover for exact counts.

Each line is the 30-day moving average of the share of daily Arabic geopolitical coverage mentioning that actor. Dashed markers flag major events. Coverage of the Islamic State is being added.

Geopolitical coverage that also concerns oil or energy, as a share of daily geopolitical coverage (30-day moving average). "Oil-energy (all)" is the headline series; the others are oil corridors, with the Persian Gulf keyed to the Gulf producers and the Strait of Hormuz. Dashed markers flag major events. The LLM-scored oil index is coming soon.

The oil‑energy GPR against Brent crude (FRED series DCOILBRENTEU). The two co‑move around supply shocks, and every major spike coincides with a sharp rise in oil‑price volatility (Ukraine 2022, Gaza 2023, Israel‑Iran 2025).

Each line is the 30-day moving average of the share of daily Arabic geopolitical coverage that names the city. Dashed markers flag major events. Cities GDELT resolves only to the province or country level (e.g. Mosul, Homs) cannot be isolated and are omitted. The LLM-scored city index is coming soon.

Geopolitical coverage split into realized acts (armed conflict, terror, assassinations) and anticipated threats (military buildup, nuclear, sanctions, ultimatums), as a share of daily geopolitical coverage (30-day moving average). Acts dominate; threats rise during standoffs such as the 2019 Gulf tanker crisis. The LLM-scored versions are coming soon.