GPRData Hub
Country risk data · Middle East & North Africa

Turkey geopolitical risk index

A daily, news-based measure of geopolitical risk for Turkey: conflict, threats, terrorism and tensions as reported in the news, from 2015 to 2026. Free to download and reuse under CC BY 4.0.

Data through 18 June 2026 · Updated monthly · Source: GDELT Project

Turkey in the MENA GPR Index

Data through 18 June 2026 · Explore the full MENA GPR Index

1.7%
Share of coverage, May 2026
2.0%
Share of coverage, last 90 days
-13%
Change vs the same 90 days a year earlier
11 of 23
Rank among countries in the MENA GPR Index

In May 2026, 1.7% of the Arabic-language geopolitical coverage tracked by the MENA GPR Index mentioned Turkey. The 90-day average of 2.0% is higher than 38% of all 90-day periods since 2015, and ranks Turkey 11 of 23 countries in the index. The highest monthly share was 8.3% in July 2016.

02.04.06.08.0201620182020202220242026

Monthly average share of Arabic-language geopolitical coverage that mentions Turkey, 2015 to 2026.

Download Turkey geopolitical risk data

The monthly file has one row per month and these columns: mena_coverage_share_pct. Daily data for every country is in the regional files.

What the numbers mean

  • MENA GPR Index: built from a curated set of leading pan-Arab outlets in the GDELT Global Knowledge Graph (2015–). The series is the share of Arabic-language geopolitical coverage that mentions Turkey, a measure of how much of the region's risk news concerns Turkey.

All indices follow the geopolitical-risk definition of Caldara and Iacoviello (2022): the threat, realization and escalation of wars, terrorism and tensions between states and political actors. The full construction is on the methodology page.

How to cite

How to cite

Iddouch, K. (2026). GPR Data Hub: Daily geopolitical risk indices for MENA, Africa, Europe and South America [Data set]. https://karimiddouch.org/

@misc{iddouch2026gprhub,
  author       = {Iddouch, Karim},
  title        = {GPR Data Hub: Daily Geopolitical Risk Indices for MENA, Africa, Europe and South America},
  year         = {2026},
  howpublished = {\url{https://karimiddouch.org/}},
  note         = {Data set, CC BY 4.0, accessed YYYY-MM-DD}
}

Other countries in Middle East & North Africa

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