GPRData Hub
Country risk data · Middle East & North Africa

Lebanon geopolitical risk index

A daily, news-based measure of geopolitical risk for Lebanon: conflict, threats, terrorism and tensions as reported in the news, from 2015 to 2026. Free to download and reuse under CC BY 4.0.

Data through 18 June 2026 · Updated monthly · Source: GDELT Project

Lebanon in the MENA GPR Index

Data through 18 June 2026 · Explore the full MENA GPR Index

4.4%
Share of coverage, May 2026
6.1%
Share of coverage, last 90 days
+127%
Change vs the same 90 days a year earlier
4 of 23
Rank among countries in the MENA GPR Index

In May 2026, 4.4% of the Arabic-language geopolitical coverage tracked by the MENA GPR Index mentioned Lebanon. The 90-day average of 6.1% is higher than 97% of all 90-day periods since 2015, and ranks Lebanon 4 of 23 countries in the index. The highest monthly share was 12.7% in October 2024.

02.55.07.51012201620182020202220242026

Monthly average share of Arabic-language geopolitical coverage that mentions Lebanon, 2015 to 2026.

Download Lebanon geopolitical risk data

The monthly file has one row per month and these columns: mena_coverage_share_pct. Daily data for every country is in the regional files.

What the numbers mean

  • MENA GPR Index: built from a curated set of leading pan-Arab outlets in the GDELT Global Knowledge Graph (2015–). The series is the share of Arabic-language geopolitical coverage that mentions Lebanon, a measure of how much of the region's risk news concerns Lebanon.

All indices follow the geopolitical-risk definition of Caldara and Iacoviello (2022): the threat, realization and escalation of wars, terrorism and tensions between states and political actors. The full construction is on the methodology page.

How to cite

How to cite

Iddouch, K. (2026). GPR Data Hub: Daily geopolitical risk indices for MENA, Africa, Europe and South America [Data set]. https://karimiddouch.org/

@misc{iddouch2026gprhub,
  author       = {Iddouch, Karim},
  title        = {GPR Data Hub: Daily Geopolitical Risk Indices for MENA, Africa, Europe and South America},
  year         = {2026},
  howpublished = {\url{https://karimiddouch.org/}},
  note         = {Data set, CC BY 4.0, accessed YYYY-MM-DD}
}

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