GPRData Hub
Country risk data · Middle East & North Africa

Syria geopolitical risk index

A daily, news-based measure of geopolitical risk for Syria: conflict, threats, terrorism and tensions as reported in the news, from 2015 to 2026. Free to download and reuse under CC BY 4.0.

Data through 18 June 2026 · Updated monthly · Source: GDELT Project

Syria in the MENA GPR Index

Data through 18 June 2026 · Explore the full MENA GPR Index

1.7%
Share of coverage, May 2026
1.9%
Share of coverage, last 90 days
-51%
Change vs the same 90 days a year earlier
13 of 23
Rank among countries in the MENA GPR Index

In May 2026, 1.7% of the Arabic-language geopolitical coverage tracked by the MENA GPR Index mentioned Syria. The 90-day average of 1.9% is higher than 4% of all 90-day periods since 2015, and ranks Syria 13 of 23 countries in the index. The highest monthly share was 11.0% in December 2024.

02.04.06.08.010201620182020202220242026

Monthly average share of Arabic-language geopolitical coverage that mentions Syria, 2015 to 2026.

Download Syria geopolitical risk data

The monthly file has one row per month and these columns: mena_coverage_share_pct. Daily data for every country is in the regional files.

What the numbers mean

  • MENA GPR Index: built from a curated set of leading pan-Arab outlets in the GDELT Global Knowledge Graph (2015–). The series is the share of Arabic-language geopolitical coverage that mentions Syria, a measure of how much of the region's risk news concerns Syria.

All indices follow the geopolitical-risk definition of Caldara and Iacoviello (2022): the threat, realization and escalation of wars, terrorism and tensions between states and political actors. The full construction is on the methodology page.

How to cite

How to cite

Iddouch, K. (2026). GPR Data Hub: Daily geopolitical risk indices for MENA, Africa, Europe and South America [Data set]. https://karimiddouch.org/

@misc{iddouch2026gprhub,
  author       = {Iddouch, Karim},
  title        = {GPR Data Hub: Daily Geopolitical Risk Indices for MENA, Africa, Europe and South America},
  year         = {2026},
  howpublished = {\url{https://karimiddouch.org/}},
  note         = {Data set, CC BY 4.0, accessed YYYY-MM-DD}
}

Other countries in Middle East & North Africa

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