GPRData Hub
Country risk data · Asia

Pakistan geopolitical risk index

A daily, news-based measure of geopolitical risk for Pakistan: conflict, threats, terrorism and tensions as reported in the news, from 1979 to 2026. Free to download and reuse under CC BY 4.0.

Data through 2 November 2026 · Updated monthly · Source: GDELT Project

Pakistan in the Asian GPR Index

Data through 2 November 2026 · Explore the full Asian GPR Index

79.7
Index, October 2026 (own 2000–2019 average = 100)
80.5
Index, average of the last 90 days
-9%
Change vs the same 90 days a year earlier
29.8%
Conflict share of coverage, last 90 days · rank 13 of 50 in Asia

In October 2026, the Asian GPR Index for Pakistan stood at 79.7, which is below its long-run norm (about 20% lower than the 2000–2019 average). The 90-day average of 80.5 is higher than 4% of all 90-day periods since 2000. Since 2000, the highest monthly reading was 135.5 in September 2002. Over the last 90 days, 29.8% of Pakistan's news-event coverage reported conflict or threat, ranking 13 of 50 countries in Asia on this cross-country comparable measure.

0501001501990200020102020baseline = 100

Monthly average of Pakistan's own GPR index (2000–2019 average = 100), 1985 to 2026. Dashed line = the country's own baseline of 100. Early years rest on thinner news coverage and are noisier.

Download Pakistan geopolitical risk data

The monthly file has one row per month and these columns: asia_gpr_index, asia_conflict_share_pct. Daily data for every country is in the regional files.

What the numbers mean

  • Asian GPR Index: built from the GDELT Event Database (1979–). The index is Pakistan's own GPR index (2000–2019 average = 100): 150 means risk coverage 50% above Pakistan's own normal. The conflict share is the share of Pakistan's news-event coverage that reports conflict or threat, and it is the series to use for comparing countries.

All indices follow the geopolitical-risk definition of Caldara and Iacoviello (2022): the threat, realization and escalation of wars, terrorism and tensions between states and political actors. The full construction is on the methodology page.

How to cite

How to cite

Iddouch, K. (2026). GPR Data Hub: Daily geopolitical risk indices for MENA, Africa, Asia, Europe and South America [Data set]. https://karimiddouch.org/

@misc{iddouch2026gprhub,
  author       = {Iddouch, Karim},
  title        = {GPR Data Hub: Daily Geopolitical Risk Indices for MENA, Africa, Asia, Europe and South America},
  year         = {2026},
  howpublished = {\url{https://karimiddouch.org/}},
  note         = {Data set, CC BY 4.0, accessed YYYY-MM-DD}
}

Other countries in Asia

See the geopolitical risk ranking for all countries →