China geopolitical risk index

China in the Asian GPR Index

Data through 2 November 2026 · Explore the full Asian GPR Index

In October 2026, the Asian GPR Index for China stood at 97.6, which is close to its long-run norm. The 90-day average of 98.8 is higher than 38% of all 90-day periods since 2000. Since 2000, the highest monthly reading was 154.7 in May 2014. Over the last 90 days, 22.2% of China's news-event coverage reported conflict or threat, ranking 25 of 50 countries in Asia on this cross-country comparable measure.

Monthly average of China's own GPR index (2000–2019 average = 100), 1985 to 2026. Dashed line = the country's own baseline of 100. Early years rest on thinner news coverage and are noisier.

Download China geopolitical risk data

The monthly file has one row per month and these columns: asia_gpr_index, asia_conflict_share_pct. Daily data for every country is in the regional files.

What the numbers mean

• Asian GPR Index: built from the GDELT Event Database (1979–). The index is China's own GPR index (2000–2019 average = 100): 150 means risk coverage 50% above China's own normal. The conflict share is the share of China's news-event coverage that reports conflict or threat, and it is the series to use for comparing countries.

All indices follow the geopolitical-risk definition of Caldara and Iacoviello (2022): the threat, realization and escalation of wars, terrorism and tensions between states and political actors. The full construction is on the methodology page.

How to cite

@misc{iddouch2026gprhub,
  author       = {Iddouch, Karim},
  title        = {GPR Data Hub: Daily Geopolitical Risk Indices for MENA, Africa, Asia, Europe and South America},
  year         = {2026},
  howpublished = {\url{https://karimiddouch.org/}},
  note         = {Data set, CC BY 4.0, accessed YYYY-MM-DD}
}

Other countries in Asia

See the geopolitical risk ranking for all countries →