GPRData Hub
Country risk data · Europe

Montenegro geopolitical risk index

A daily, news-based measure of geopolitical risk for Montenegro: conflict, threats, terrorism and tensions as reported in the news, from 1979 to 2026. Free to download and reuse under CC BY 4.0.

Data through 1 June 2026 · Updated monthly · Source: GDELT Project

Montenegro in the European GPR Index

Data through 1 June 2026 · Explore the full European GPR Index

154.5
Index, June 2026 (own 2000–2019 average = 100)
108.0
Index, average of the last 90 days
+62%
Change vs the same 90 days a year earlier
19.1%
Conflict share of coverage, last 90 days · rank 31 of 40 in Europe

In June 2026, the European GPR Index for Montenegro stood at 154.5, which is well above its long-run norm: risk coverage is about 54% higher than Montenegro's 2000–2019 average. The 90-day average of 108.0 is higher than 59% of all 90-day periods since 2000. Since 2000, the highest monthly reading was 292.5 in September 2021. Over the last 90 days, 19.1% of Montenegro's news-event coverage reported conflict or threat, ranking 31 of 40 countries in Europe on this cross-country comparable measure.

01002003001990200020102020baseline = 100

Monthly average of Montenegro's own GPR index (2000–2019 average = 100), 1985 to 2026. Dashed line = the country's own baseline of 100. Early years rest on thinner news coverage and are noisier.

Download Montenegro geopolitical risk data

The monthly file has one row per month and these columns: europe_gpr_index, europe_conflict_share_pct. Daily data for every country is in the regional files.

What the numbers mean

  • European GPR Index: built from the GDELT Event Database (1979–). The index is Montenegro's own GPR index (2000–2019 average = 100): 150 means risk coverage 50% above Montenegro's own normal. The conflict share is the share of Montenegro's news-event coverage that reports conflict or threat, and it is the series to use for comparing countries.

All indices follow the geopolitical-risk definition of Caldara and Iacoviello (2022): the threat, realization and escalation of wars, terrorism and tensions between states and political actors. The full construction is on the methodology page.

How to cite

How to cite

Iddouch, K. (2026). GPR Data Hub: Daily geopolitical risk indices for MENA, Africa, Europe and South America [Data set]. https://karimiddouch.org/

@misc{iddouch2026gprhub,
  author       = {Iddouch, Karim},
  title        = {GPR Data Hub: Daily Geopolitical Risk Indices for MENA, Africa, Europe and South America},
  year         = {2026},
  howpublished = {\url{https://karimiddouch.org/}},
  note         = {Data set, CC BY 4.0, accessed YYYY-MM-DD}
}

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