Croatia geopolitical risk index

Croatia in the European GPR Index

Data through 1 June 2026 · Explore the full European GPR Index

In June 2026, the European GPR Index for Croatia stood at 53.5, which is below its long-run norm (about 46% lower than the 2000–2019 average). The 90-day average of 59.2 is higher than 3% of all 90-day periods since 2000. Since 2000, the highest monthly reading was 216.5 in October 2018. Over the last 90 days, 18.5% of Croatia's news-event coverage reported conflict or threat, ranking 35 of 40 countries in Europe on this cross-country comparable measure.

Monthly average of Croatia's own GPR index (2000–2019 average = 100), 1985 to 2026. Dashed line = the country's own baseline of 100. Early years rest on thinner news coverage and are noisier.

Download Croatia geopolitical risk data

The monthly file has one row per month and these columns: europe_gpr_index, europe_conflict_share_pct. Daily data for every country is in the regional files.

What the numbers mean

• European GPR Index: built from the GDELT Event Database (1979–). The index is Croatia's own GPR index (2000–2019 average = 100): 150 means risk coverage 50% above Croatia's own normal. The conflict share is the share of Croatia's news-event coverage that reports conflict or threat, and it is the series to use for comparing countries.

All indices follow the geopolitical-risk definition of Caldara and Iacoviello (2022): the threat, realization and escalation of wars, terrorism and tensions between states and political actors. The full construction is on the methodology page.

How to cite

@misc{iddouch2026gprhub,
  author       = {Iddouch, Karim},
  title        = {GPR Data Hub: Daily Geopolitical Risk Indices for MENA, Africa, Europe and South America},
  year         = {2026},
  howpublished = {\url{https://karimiddouch.org/}},
  note         = {Data set, CC BY 4.0, accessed YYYY-MM-DD}
}

Other countries in Europe

See the geopolitical risk ranking for all countries →