Moldova geopolitical risk index

Moldova in the European GPR Index

Data through 1 June 2026 · Explore the full European GPR Index

In June 2026, the European GPR Index for Moldova stood at 59.9, which is below its long-run norm (about 40% lower than the 2000–2019 average). The 90-day average of 93.0 is higher than 47% of all 90-day periods since 2000. Since 2000, the highest monthly reading was 262.5 in April 2018. Over the last 90 days, 22.6% of Moldova's news-event coverage reported conflict or threat, ranking 16 of 40 countries in Europe on this cross-country comparable measure.

Monthly average of Moldova's own GPR index (2000–2019 average = 100), 1985 to 2026. Dashed line = the country's own baseline of 100. Early years rest on thinner news coverage and are noisier.

Download Moldova geopolitical risk data

The monthly file has one row per month and these columns: europe_gpr_index, europe_conflict_share_pct. Daily data for every country is in the regional files.

What the numbers mean

• European GPR Index: built from the GDELT Event Database (1979–). The index is Moldova's own GPR index (2000–2019 average = 100): 150 means risk coverage 50% above Moldova's own normal. The conflict share is the share of Moldova's news-event coverage that reports conflict or threat, and it is the series to use for comparing countries.

All indices follow the geopolitical-risk definition of Caldara and Iacoviello (2022): the threat, realization and escalation of wars, terrorism and tensions between states and political actors. The full construction is on the methodology page.

How to cite

@misc{iddouch2026gprhub,
  author       = {Iddouch, Karim},
  title        = {GPR Data Hub: Daily Geopolitical Risk Indices for MENA, Africa, Europe and South America},
  year         = {2026},
  howpublished = {\url{https://karimiddouch.org/}},
  note         = {Data set, CC BY 4.0, accessed YYYY-MM-DD}
}

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