The Arabic AI‑GPR Index ← Home
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The Arabic AI‑GPR Index and each of its sub‑indices are free to download as CSV, daily from February 2015 to mid‑2026 and updated monthly. Each file has a date column plus the daily series; share columns are percentages of daily geopolitical coverage, and 30‑day moving averages are suffixed _ma30.

Headline
Arabic AI‑GPR Index
The daily headline index of geopolitical risk, normalized to a 2016‑2024 mean of 100, with a 30‑day moving average.
CSV · 4,117 days · 2015–2026 · 305 KB
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Geography
By country
Daily coverage share for 24 countries, with 30‑day moving averages. Israel, Iran, Saudi Arabia, Egypt, Syria, Yemen and more.
CSV · 4,121 days · 24 countries · 3.6 MB
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Anatomy
By event type
Daily share of each category: war and armed conflict, terrorism, military and security, protests, sanctions, and nuclear.
CSV · 4,117 days · 8 categories · 1.1 MB
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Relations
Country pairs (bilateral)
Co‑mention tension share for key dyads: Iran–Israel, Saudi–Yemen, Israel–Lebanon, Russia–Ukraine and more.
CSV · 4,117 days · 7 pairs · 569 KB
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Actors
By actor
Daily coverage share for armed groups (Hamas, Hezbollah, Houthis, Taliban) and named leaders (Netanyahu, Khamenei, Nasrallah and more).
CSV · 4,121 days · 13 actors · 1.1 MB
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Sector
Oil & energy
The oil‑energy GPR (base 100) plus corridor shares: Persian Gulf and Hormuz, Red Sea and Bab‑el‑Mandeb, Suez.
CSV · 4,120 days · base 100 + corridors · 633 KB
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Hotspots
By city
Sub‑national hotspot shares: Gaza, Aleppo, Damascus, Beirut, Baghdad, Sana'a, Rafah, Idlib and more.
CSV · 4,121 days · 14 cities · 1.1 MB
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Dynamics
Threats vs acts
Daily share of realized acts vs anticipated threats, plus the acts‑to‑threats kinetic ratio.
CSV · 4,121 days · 3 series · 119 KB
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Full corpus
Article‑level raw data
The underlying article‑level corpus and the full replication code are available to researchers and institutions on request.
On request · for research use
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How to cite. If you use these data, please cite: Iddouch, K. (2026). The Arabic AI‑GPR Index: Measuring Geopolitical Risk using Artificial Intelligence and Arabic‑Language News. Research preview.
The series is built from the GDELT Global Knowledge Graph and is provided as a theme‑based baseline; the LLM‑scored version is forthcoming. Questions and feedback: karimiddouch@gmail.com.