Open · Independent · Monthly

Geopolitical risk index data, read from the world’s own news.

Free, daily geopolitical risk indices for the regions global indicators overlook: the Arab world, Africa, Europe and South America, with a page for each of 122 countries. Built from millions of news reports, free to explore and download as CSV.

Explore the data →

SCROLL

The indices

Four regions, one consistent method

Each index measures, day by day, how intensively the news reports conflict and threat. Pick a region to explore the interactive charts, country breakdowns, and downloads.

MENA GPR

Arabic-language news · 2015–2026

The first daily geopolitical-risk index built entirely from Arabic-language news, with breakdowns by country, actor, event type, city and oil corridor.

Explore the MENA index →

African GPR

54 countries · 1979–2026

A daily, country-level index for every African state, from the global news-event record, with regional series and a threats-versus-acts split.

Explore the African index →

European GPR

40 countries · 1979–2026

Daily geopolitical risk for forty European countries, with a separate index per country, regional aggregates, and a threats-versus-acts decomposition.

Explore the European index →

South America GPR

12 countries · 2015–2026

Built from local South American outlets in Spanish, Portuguese, Dutch and English — the region read the way it reports itself, with subregional series.

Explore the South America index →

Country risk data

Geopolitical risk by country

Every country in the four indices has its own page: the latest reading, a long-run chart, its rank in the region and a CSV download. 122 countries in all.

Iran Israel Saudi Arabia Egypt Morocco Turkey Nigeria South Africa Sudan Ethiopia Kenya Ukraine Germany France United Kingdom Poland Brazil Argentina Colombia Venezuela

See all 122 countries →

Methodology

Built from the news, transparently

Every index follows the same reproducible three-step pipeline, adapted to each region and its languages.

Collect

Millions of news reports gathered from the global GDELT news database, covering each region continuously and in its own languages.

Screen & read

Filter to geopolitical content — conflict, terror, insurgency, coups, sanctions, border tension — using a transparent, language-independent screen.

Aggregate

Average daily, normalize to a common baseline so levels are comparable over time and across countries, and validate against known events.

Research

Peer-grade, openly published

The indices are documented in working papers on SSRN and backed by a program of published research in finance and economics.

Working paper · SSRN

The Arabic AI-GPR Index: Measuring Geopolitical Risk from Arabic-Language News

Iddouch (2026) · International University of Casablanca

Abstract & PDF → View on SSRN →

Working paper · SSRN

The African Geopolitical Risk Index: A Daily, Country-Level Measure for Fifty-Four Countries, 1979–2026

Iddouch (2026) · International University of Casablanca

Abstract & PDF → View on SSRN →

See all research → Read the methodology →